How to bet on a basketball game against the streaks?Basketball bets
We explain how to successfully carry out the NBA betting strategy against streaks, both positive and negative.
There are basically two different visions to focus on basketball betting strategies in NBA games where you bet on breaking a short streak of wins or losses (valid for long runs). One is based on the statistics of the teams in the current and previous season, and the second is using the so-called teams time.
This second optic we are going to propose today as a basketball strategy against streaks and to select the team we are going to bet on, which will be cut its string of results. There are four main factors to study: time of the season, absence of key players, rival status and local-visitor status.
- Moment of the season: in the case of such an extensive campaign, it is necessary to distinguish whether the first part is in progress or have already entered the defining stage, where each game acquires greater relevance for the pass or not to the post season.
- Absence of key players: Although basketball is a game where the collective is essential, teams are structured around one or more players and the absence of any of them can be key to the outcome of the game under study. It is advisable to wait for the confirmation of the starting quintets and the available payroll of the 2 clubs (this data is usually obtained at least one hour before the start)
- Status of the rival team: This point and the previous one are perhaps the most influential, so we will distribute the 30 teams in three groups according to their records.
Group A: very winning clubs, with average wins over 575 (12 teams).
Group B: positive record with an average between 500 and 575 (6 teams)
Group C: negative records, average less than 500 (12 teams)
The evaluation of the record of the teams of the game of turn is key, before the group to which the rival belongs.
Local or visitor: There are teams that can win with equal regularity in both conditions but most will get fewer wins on the road than at home. Here it is also important to see in which group (previous point) is the opponent to face.
One of the basketball betting strategies is to be attentive to these details, especially points 2-3, and so we can find suitable occasions to bet even against favorites. As an example, let’s see what happened between the recess of the star game and the end of the regular phase 2018 with the defending champion Golden State.He won his first 7 games after the break, and then the injuries came. His main figure and in some games 2, 3 and even 4 of his usual headlines saw no action and that opened the possibility of winning by betting against him. In the following 17 games, they left a 7-10 mark, but only 1-9 against teams with a positive record, even with 0-5 in bets with a favorable Run Line against Group A teams.
The balance, ideal conditions to use basketball strategy against streaks against a usual favorite team, which in that space of 16 games fit on one occasion 3 consecutive setbacks and on another two occasions 2 defeats in a row, something that had only happened in their 239 previous games of regular phase.
As you can see, the best NBA basketball betting strategies result from combining relevant statistics with the moment of the teams, which in such a long campaign will always suffer from ups and downs.