Strategy of betting on under if it seems that the match is going to be overBasketball bets
We give more details on how to handle certain basketball bets in a game where it seems that the result is going to be over.
In this other article about basketball strategies and their bets we will analyze the strategy of betting on under when it seems that the game is going to be over, and the key here lies in knowing when to place the bet, which is made live, is say, with the game already in dispute. The different bookmakers offer the possibility of making this direct bet at the end of the first quarter, during the intermission and after the end of the third period, and the latter is the most appropriate time to apply this type of strategy in basketball betting.
To risk money by betting on under when the trend is inclined to over, it is absolutely necessary that after having played the first three quarters of the game, there are some conditions that make the possibility that this tendency to over will be reversed.
Among these conditions or parameters there are some that are obvious, as one of the teams (preferably the favorite) has a double digit advantage (the wider the better), which in case of being maintained or extended would lead to that in the final minutes In the match, the coaches would use the so-called second unit, that is, the players who normally see fewer minutes on the court and therefore those with the lowest performance. Also a match with a clear difference on the board for the final period, away from the possibility of a tie in the regulatory time and with it an extension that makes the result more feasible over.
It is also advisable to make this bet in regular season games, because in it the coaches use a wider rotation than in the play off games, and they also tend to dose more the minutes of play with their star players.
But the most important parameter to take into account in this strategy in basketball bets, is that the overdraft trend that we find at the end of the third period is the result of a high score in each of the first three quarters and we will detail this point So you can understand each other better.
Statistically, it is proven that a good percentage of the over results are not the result of an even score in each and every period of the game, but are given by a score that is mostly the result of a very good half or Three very efficient rooms.So if in a certain regular phase match we find that at the end of the third quarter there is a wide difference in favor of the favorite team, combined with an over tendency that is the product of a high score in each of the periods, it is recommended implement the strategy of betting on under when it seems that the game is going to be over, even more if we take into account the parameter that we need to expose and that is that the bookmakers according to the development of the match are moving the line to the live bets, so that when there is that tendency to the high one, the original over / under line will find it modified upwards, movement that they make taking into account among other things, the average of annotation per quarter until that moment.
The concordance of all the parameters that we have mentioned, raise the probability of an under result against the over that can mark a trend.