Major League Baseball bets can be more lucrative than previously thought. Here are some aspects to consider.
In a regular season of Major League Baseball – Major League Baseball or MLB – each team plays 162 games. This means that there are matches practically every day, with occasional breaks. Many sports fans with a more dizzying pace think baseball is boring. But in reality it is quite entertaining. Many things happen all the time in a baseball game, although it seems that it is not. We don’t want to convince you if you think otherwise. However, we think it is worth considering baseball in your sports betting.
Why? A lot of available matches and unique features that provide opportunities to find value. Here are some aspects that may interest you.
MLB teams usually play series of three and sometimes up to four consecutive games against the same opponent. These series are played visiting or local. For example: Toronto Blue Jays receives the Miami Marlins. Suppose Toronto is going through a good time and the Marlins are going through a bad streak. In this case you have three or even four chances to win with Toronto playing at home. You have doubts? Then you can watch the first game of the series and bet on the second or third. Of course, there are other variables that you must analyze to make the forecast, such as the performance of the pitchers that we will mention later.
Winning streaks and losing streaks
In a series of three it is likely that a team takes two wins and one loss. Remember that in baseball there is no tie. Winning or losing streaks occur frequently and can be long, continue for more than one series, especially in the climax of the season. Detecting a team on a winning streak and betting on it – or on a losing streak and betting against it – can be very lucrative.
Launchers – Pitchers openers
The pitcher or pitcher occupies the main defensive position and his role sometimes concentrates up to 75% of the performance of a team to obtain the victory. There are several types of pitchers, but “starter” is the pitcher who starts a match due to his control and endurance.
The starting pitcher can make approximately one hundred pitches per game and baseball bets are usually conditioned by this figure.Most bookmakers – such as bet365, Sportingbet – cancel a bet when a match does not start with the starting pitchers listed on the coupon.
When predicting a baseball game you cannot do without evaluating the effectiveness of the starting pitcher. And if possible also the reliever pitchers available on the team.
The MLB has a remarkable tradition of statistical data. To determine the effectiveness of a pitcher, the simplest is to consult his ‘Average of Admitted Clean Races’ or ERA (Earned Runs Average).
The ERA is calculated by multiplying the admitted races or clean races – without errors of another player – by nine total entries. The resulting amount is divided by the number of entries actually thrown by the pitcher. For example: if a pitcher supports 5 runs in 7 innings: 5 × 9 = 45/7 = 6.42 ERA. This means that a pitcher with a low ERA is more effective, as long as he has thrown in several games so that the average is significant.
Among the many things that happen in a baseball game is the “psychological warfare” between the pitcher and the batter, and even the catcher or catcher participates in it in the batter’s box. Perceiving this mental battle is extremely interesting and entertaining. A good pitcher, in addition to the physical aspect, requires a lot of concentration and a certain mental attitude to withstand the pressure in different situations derived from the game. But sometimes, a pitcher may be about to “fall apart.” This is possible to predict as there are signs that put it in evidence. For example, throwing numerous bad balls or throws that are connected – and measured – continuously by the opposing batter. You can take advantage of this mental battle especially in the markets available in live betting or live betting. If it seems that the starting pitcher or reliever of one team is about to grant races, it is time to take risks in favor of the other team.
Now, let’s briefly look at the main markets of baseball betting and how to take advantage of some of the mentioned aspects.
Bet 1 × 2 or money line
It is the main market in baseball betting. You choose a team to win the match. In this case, the margin of victory does not affect your earnings. The favorite team usually pays little but in certain games you will find more balanced odds. We suggest avoiding odds less than 1.60, except if the favorite team comes with a good run, is markedly superior to the opponent or starts with an effective pitcher.Another option is to play bets combined with two or more favorite teams to raise the odds.
In this bet the margin of victory matters. A team is given a virtual advantage or disadvantage of careers. The shares are more balanced in this market. If the team that interests us is superior to its rival but in the money line pays little, this may be an option to improve the quota. We advise you to make a pre-match bet with a negative handicap when the team you are interested in brings an explosive offensive and opens with a good pitcher. Otherwise we suggest watching the game live and playing handicap in relation to what is perceived during its development as the odds could improve.
Over / under
Bookmakers establish a race line, for example: more than 8 / less than 8 for the total of the game in 9 tickets or whatever. They also offer a race line for half the game (4 ½ tickets). In this market it is essential to focus on the effectiveness of both starting pitchers and also consider the batting power in each lineup. For example, a match where both teams open with excellent pitchers can be a meeting of few races, a real duel of pitching and there may be value under if the line is not very low.
There are many opportunities in baseball betting. The 2015 season is just beginning and promises a lot. In Mexico you can watch some live matches on ESPN and Fox Sports. Ah … and something that makes us happy this season is that bet365 is broadcasting many MLB baseball games to its clients in Mexico through its ‘live images’ service. And they look great quality! Seize it!